... Moss, and Andre Johnson have taken turns being the first receiver off the board. All three have found themselves drafted in the first round on at least a few occasions.

But those are easy calls.

It's difficult to assess talent and environment. After the first tier of receivers, there seems to be a huge drop-off.

That's where the casual fantasy player gets lost. The truth is that there is production all the way to the last guy on this list. The main problem is weeding out the "talents" that are the most likely to have a bad season, and knowing each player's status with their team.

Be sure to trac...

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