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Bill Belichick’s Fourth-Down Decision Was Not a Terrible Call

Article By on 16th November, 2009

... his fourth-down call was as ludicrous as everyone thinks it was.

Up six with just over two minutes remaining, the Patriots head coach decided to go for it on fourth and two from the team's own 28 yard line, despite the fact that New England led Indianapolis by six.

Generally a ridiculous call, I wasn't shocked that Belichick rolled the dice in that situation because his offense had put up more than 450 yards and 34 points so far, and Colts quarterback Peyton Manning has been nearly impossible to stop on potential game-winning drives over the past four years.

In Tom Brady's career, the Pats have about a 63 percent conversion rate on fourth and two or less.  That means by going for it on fourth down, New England had a 63 perc...

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